Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.3% | 57.7% | +1.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -7 (116-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 38 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 35 | 12-19 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 16 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 34 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 11-13 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 33 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 22 | - |
| JR Smith * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 24 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Bargnani * | 39 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Sonny Weems * | 37 | 10-17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 31 | 11-16 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 25 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 22 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Julian Wright * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter