Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.6 | ✗ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -13 (98-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 8-11 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 20 | - |
| LeBron James * | 39 | 12-20 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 27 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 39 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 25 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| James Jones * | 15 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 42 | 6-13 | 0-5 | 9-12 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 41 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 40 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 38 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 38 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 18 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ronnie Price * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter