Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +16 (105-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nene Hilario * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 33 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 32 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| JR Smith * | 26 | 7-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 36 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 35 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 30 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Semih Erden * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Avery Bradley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luke Harangody | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter