Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | +9.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +14 (97-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Gordon * | 36 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 18 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 15 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Will Bynum | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 42 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 40 | 16-25 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 22 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 37 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 14-15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 13 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jermaine Taylor * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Jared Jeffries | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter