Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✗ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (105-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorell Wright * | 44 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 42 | 7-17 | 2-3 | 2-5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 41 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 11 | - |
| David Lee * | 40 | 9-22 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 5 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric | 5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 10-18 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 33 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 32 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
* = starter