Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -10 (78-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 19 | - |
| LeBron James * | 38 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 38 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 32 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| James Jones * | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Bogut * | 39 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| John Salmons * | 32 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 32 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Corey Maggette * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Chris Douglas-Roberts * | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Earl Boykins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jon Brockman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter