Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -6 (74-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 41 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 39 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 35 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 28 | 6-17 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Etan Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 39 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 36 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 31 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 23 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter