Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +1 (108-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 40 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 6-9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 40 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 38 | 8-21 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Xavier Henry * | 27 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Sam Young * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tony Allen | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nene Hilario * | 37 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 34 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 34 | 10-14 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 30 | 4-20 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| JR Smith * | 19 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter