Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -2 (103-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 32 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 31 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreke Evans * | 40 | 11-20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 39 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Donte Greene * | 26 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Omri Casspi * | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Pooh Jeter * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter