Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | +3.0 | ✗ (23.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -20 (98-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 29 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 30 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 8-9 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 29 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 28 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| George Hill * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 19 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Antonio McDyess | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorell Wright * | 42 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 40 | 13-22 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 15 | - |
| David Lee * | 37 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 33 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Rodney Carney * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Williams | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jeremy Lin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter