Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (101-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martin * | 31 | 4-15 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 23 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 23 | 4-13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 22 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 20 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jermaine Taylor | 7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jared Jeffries | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 29 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 27 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 25 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Dominique Jones | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter