Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +11 (105-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Arenas * | 41 | 9-21 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 37 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Nick Young * | 33 | 4-15 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | -1 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cartier Martin | 9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 38 | 10-18 | 1-1 | 9-11 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 36 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 26 | - |
| James Jones * | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 21 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Eddie House | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter