Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +5 (138-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 36 | 15-24 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 29 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 31 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 27 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 27 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 20 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 12 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 38 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 34 | 8-14 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| JR Smith * | 29 | 8-15 | 6-11 | 8-11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 26 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 19 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter