Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +1 (99-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 39 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 7-18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 3 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 35 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| James Harden * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 22 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| DJ White * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martin * | 40 | 9-21 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 38 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 36 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 32 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 16 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Courtney Lee | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter