Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.3% | 37.7% | -2.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -14 (95-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manu Ginobili * | 34 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 33 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| George Hill * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 28 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 21 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ime Udoka | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Ariza * | 34 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| David West * | 33 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 32 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Willie Green * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 20 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jason Smith * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| DJ Mbenga * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter