Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✗ (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -18 (78-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Williams * | 36 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 28 | - |
| Al Horford * | 27 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 27 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 26 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 24 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Bargnani * | 34 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 1 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Sonny Weems * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Joey Dorsey * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Amir Johnson | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Julian Wright | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter