Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +1 (98-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Watson * | 43 | 11-22 | 2-4 | 9-12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 16 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 40 | 9-17 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 39 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 24 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| James Johnson * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| John Lucas III | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 39 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 33 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 4 | - |
| JR Smith * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 26 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Gary Forbes | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter