Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.7% | 71.3% | +5.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -9 (94-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 12-14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 31 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 13-16 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 27 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -2 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 34 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 9-9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 19 | - |
| George Hill * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 23 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter