Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | -1.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -4 (106-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 46 | 4-16 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 46 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 44 | 9-26 | 1-8 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 8 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 41 | 13-24 | 0-1 | 17-18 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 36 | - |
| James Harden * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| DJ White * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nick Collison | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Byron Mullens | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Royal Ivey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 44 | 11-24 | 2-9 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 8 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 36 | 9-21 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 32 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| James Posey * | 28 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter