Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (99-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 38 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Elton Brand * | 36 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 24 | 8-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marreese Speights * | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Lou Williams * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 40 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 9-11 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 37 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 32 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| James Jones * | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Eddie House * | 13 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter