Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.2% | 70.8% | +4.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -8 (103-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 14-15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 25 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 35 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 29 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 29 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 14 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 41 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 39 | 12-20 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 25 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 36 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 19 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| James Harden * | 17 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter