Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | -2.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -4 (109-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 41 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 37 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 6-7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 37 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 6-9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 26 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| George Hill * | 24 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 14 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Love * | 45 | 11-19 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 35 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 40 | 2-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 35 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 33 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Wayne Ellington * | 12 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter