Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.4% | 38.6% | -2.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +9 (104-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 40 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 6-21 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 36 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Eddie House * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| James Jones * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Redick * | 42 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 7-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 38 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 8-16 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 28 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 33 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 28 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 25 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jason Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter