Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | +6.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +4 (88-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Stuckey * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 10-10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 28 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 27 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 13-23 | 3-3 | 13-16 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 42 | 33 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 38 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter