Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✗ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -17 (89-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 39 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 36 | 10-24 | 2-4 | 17-17 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 28 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 34 | 7-13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 33 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| JR Smith * | 16 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 41 | 7-22 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 40 | 8-21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 30 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Rodney Carney * | 19 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter