Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +9 (106-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 40 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 32 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 38 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 29 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 26 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 24 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Bonner * | 36 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 35 | 9-15 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 34 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 34 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 21 | - |
| George Hill * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tiago Splitter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter