Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +24 (116-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Gibson * | 29 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 29 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 22 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 22 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jawad Williams | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Leon Powe | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 28 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 20 | - |
| George Hill * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 26 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 25 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 25 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 22 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Danny Green | 8 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter