Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +2 (97-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 42 | 11-23 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 38 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Eddie House * | 30 | 7-13 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| James Jones * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 28 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 27 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Xavier Henry * | 26 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sam Young * | 12 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter