Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +0.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -5 (93-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 8-22 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 28 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 22 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 19 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 18 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 39 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Al Horford * | 37 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 37 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 35 | 10-19 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 24 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Crawford * | 12 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter