Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.0% | 41.0% | -2.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -4 (86-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 37 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 11-19 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 34 | 8-11 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 25 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 36 | 5-18 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 35 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 31 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 28 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 28 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| James Posey * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| AJ Price * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Foster | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | - |
* = starter