Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✗ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +18 (123-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Channing Frye * | 39 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 38 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 37 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 32 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Jackson * | 37 | 10-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 31 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 35 | 11-17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 29 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 23 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Derrick Brown * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Dominic McGuire * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sherron Collins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter