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2010-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 44.5% 55.5% -
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% -
Margin 32.5% 67.5% +4.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -5 (83-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joakim Noah * 40 5-10 0-0 0-0 17 5 2 0 1 10 23 -
Derrick Rose * 40 8-17 1-3 5-9 4 6 1 0 4 22 12 -
Luol Deng * 36 4-10 0-2 0-1 7 1 0 0 4 8 2 -
Taj Gibson * 28 7-12 1-1 2-4 18 1 0 1 1 17 24 -
Kyle Korver * 26 4-9 2-5 4-5 2 1 0 0 2 14 6 -
Ronnie Brewer * 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Keith Bogans * 18 0-5 0-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
C.J. Watson * 17 4-9 1-3 4-4 2 2 0 0 2 13 6 -
Omer Asik 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 2 0 4 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 41 15-26 3-5 3-6 8 3 2 0 2 36 21 -
Jason Terry * 37 3-15 1-8 2-2 3 8 2 0 1 9 6 -
Jason Kidd * 33 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 3 4 -
Caron Butler * 31 3-10 0-0 6-6 5 2 1 0 2 12 8 -
Tyson Chandler * 28 1-1 0-0 6-9 10 0 0 3 1 8 19 -
Shawn Marion * 24 4-8 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 8 5 -
J.J. Barea * 19 0-7 0-1 0-0 0 5 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Brendan Haywood * 17 3-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 7 8 -
DeShawn Stevenson * 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter