Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (95-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Diaw * | 41 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 41 | 12-24 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 11 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Brown * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 18 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sherron Collins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 39 | 12-25 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 12 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 37 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| James Jones * | 27 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Eddie House * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter