Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | +1.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +10 (106-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martin * | 40 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 11-11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 19 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 40 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 36 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 14 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 42 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 7-12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 35 | 11-17 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 31 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Sonny Weems * | 22 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| David Andersen * | 11 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
* = starter