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2010-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 48.4% 51.6% -
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% -
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +3 (86-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nene Hilario * 39 3-8 0-0 6-7 7 2 0 2 2 12 13 -
Arron Afflalo * 38 5-11 4-8 2-2 11 1 1 0 0 16 18 -
Chauncey Billups * 36 3-8 3-7 4-4 0 5 1 0 2 13 9 -
Carmelo Anthony * 34 5-15 0-1 8-10 8 4 3 0 3 18 15 -
Al Harrington * 32 6-11 3-7 2-2 3 1 1 0 5 17 6 -
Ty Lawson * 20 0-4 0-1 1-2 2 5 0 0 2 1 2 -
Shelden Williams * 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 0 2 6 -
Gary Forbes * 17 2-7 0-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 3 4 -4 -
Melvin Ely 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 41 9-20 0-0 6-8 10 2 0 1 6 24 11 -
Wesley Matthews * 40 8-18 3-8 1-4 10 2 1 2 1 20 16 -
Andre Miller * 40 8-15 0-1 0-0 4 6 2 0 3 16 10 -
Nicolas Batum * 38 5-14 2-7 2-4 6 4 2 1 0 14 13 -
Marcus Camby * 36 2-10 0-0 1-2 14 1 1 3 0 5 14 -
Dante Cunningham * 18 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
Rudy Fernandez * 17 2-6 2-6 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
Armon Johnson * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter