Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✗ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +2 (99-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 11-19 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 28 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 26 | 2-13 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David West * | 38 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 36 | 8-13 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 31 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Willie Green * | 18 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jason Smith * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Pops Mensah-Bonsu | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter