Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +27 (123-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 30 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -2 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 26 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 25 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 18 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Earl Clark | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Earl Barron | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Garret Siler | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 30 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 11-11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 29 | - |
| James Jones * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Eddie House * | 28 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| LeBron James * | 23 | 9-15 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mario Chalmers | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse | 4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter