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2010-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 71.8% 28.2% -
Bradley-Terry 55.3% 44.7% -
Margin 57.1% 42.9% -1.6 (16.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +15 (109-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 31 5-9 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 12 6 -
Jarrett Jack * 30 5-14 0-1 3-4 4 5 2 0 0 13 10 -
Sonny Weems * 29 7-13 2-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 16 8 -
Andrea Bargnani * 28 3-13 1-2 5-6 2 2 1 0 1 12 3 -
Linas Kleiza * 20 7-11 0-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 15 9 -
Amir Johnson * 18 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
Reggie Evans * 18 1-4 0-0 3-4 9 4 3 0 2 5 15 -
Jose Calderon * 17 1-8 1-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 3 -3 -
Marcus Banks * 15 0-2 0-0 2-4 0 2 0 0 2 2 0 -
Julian Wright * 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
David Andersen 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 4 -1 -
Joey Dorsey 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 4 4 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kirk Hinrich * 39 5-8 1-2 2-2 4 12 0 0 2 13 19 -
Gilbert Arenas * 31 7-14 3-6 3-4 7 6 1 0 3 20 17 -
Andray Blatche * 31 9-13 1-1 3-4 7 5 3 0 4 22 20 -
Al Thornton * 31 3-6 0-1 0-0 7 2 1 0 1 6 9 -
Nick Young * 29 8-15 1-4 3-4 6 0 1 0 2 20 10 -
JaVale McGee * 25 3-7 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 4 0 8 14 -
Hilton Armstrong * 15 5-6 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 10 10 -
Cartier Martin * 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Trevor Booker 20 4-6 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 1 2 8 4 -
Lester Hudson 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Kevin Seraphin 2 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Hamady Ndiaye 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter