Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.9 | ✗ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -10 (92-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 36 | 9-16 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 35 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 31 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Al Horford * | 30 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jason Collins | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Josh Powell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 40 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 37 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 33 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| James Posey * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| AJ Price * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter