Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (98-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David West * | 35 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 35 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 32 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Willie Green * | 23 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 19 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jason Smith * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 10-13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 9-19 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 15 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 17 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dominique Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter