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2010-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“
Margin 26.5% 73.5% +5.6 โœ“ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +3 (113-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Beasley * 38 12-25 3-3 1-3 5 2 0 2 2 28 10 -
Darko Milicic * 37 5-11 0-0 3-4 12 5 0 4 0 13 23 -
Kevin Love * 32 8-16 1-3 3-3 9 0 1 1 4 20 11 -
Sebastian Telfair * 30 5-11 1-2 0-0 1 6 0 0 3 11 4 -
Wesley Johnson * 28 2-5 0-2 0-2 2 4 0 2 0 4 7 -
Corey Brewer * 25 3-9 1-2 4-5 3 1 2 0 1 11 7 -
Anthony Tolliver * 21 4-8 2-4 3-4 4 0 1 0 0 13 10 -
Sundiata Gaines * 17 4-5 1-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 10 8 -
Lazar Hayward * 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
Kosta Koufos 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Jackson * 41 9-16 5-6 3-3 2 3 1 0 0 26 16 -
Gerald Wallace * 40 4-10 1-3 17-19 4 5 2 1 3 26 25 -
D.J. Augustin * 35 3-9 1-3 2-4 5 11 0 0 1 9 15 -
Tyrus Thomas * 30 8-11 0-0 4-7 10 0 2 4 7 20 18 -
Boris Diaw * 24 3-6 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 6 6 -
Nazr Mohammed * 15 5-9 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 2 0 11 9 -
Shaun Livingston * 14 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 4 0 0 1 3 10 -
Kwame Brown * 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 3 0 3 7 -
Derrick Brown * 9 3-5 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
Sherron Collins * 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
DeSagana Diop 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 2 -

* = starter