Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.5% | 57.5% | +1.7 | ✗ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -13 (104-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jefferson * | 37 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 32 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| George Hill * | 31 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 30 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 11-11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 25 | 7-10 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 16 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Tiago Splitter | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Alonzo Gee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 38 | 10-23 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 8 | - |
| James Harden * | 36 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 36 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 23 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Morris Peterson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DJ White | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter