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2010-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% -
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% -
Margin 29.3% 70.7% +4.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +7 (103-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kirk Hinrich * 37 3-4 1-1 1-1 4 6 1 1 3 8 13 -
Gilbert Arenas * 31 11-22 7-10 1-2 6 4 2 0 5 30 15 -
John Wall * 30 7-14 2-4 0-1 2 6 3 0 4 16 9 -
Andray Blatche * 27 2-10 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 0 3 4 -1 -
Al Thornton * 25 3-10 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 6 -4 -
JaVale McGee * 20 2-5 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 4 1 6 9 -
Nick Young * 18 5-9 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 11 9 -
Trevor Booker * 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 1 0 2 6 -
Hilton Armstrong * 17 4-8 0-0 0-1 10 0 1 0 1 8 10 -
Jianlian Yi * 13 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 5 5 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 43 6-14 3-6 5-7 9 6 1 0 2 20 20 -
Joakim Noah * 38 6-10 0-0 9-12 9 0 2 1 5 21 18 -
Derrick Rose * 36 8-20 1-4 7-7 4 8 2 1 3 24 16 -
Keith Bogans * 33 3-7 3-7 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 11 6 -
Taj Gibson * 25 4-8 0-0 1-2 7 1 2 5 0 9 16 -
Kyle Korver * 19 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 8 6 -
Ronnie Brewer * 18 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 2 2 1 1 7 11 -
C.J. Watson * 14 0-5 0-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 1 0 -
Omer Asik * 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -

* = starter