Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (109-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 42 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 38 | 8-23 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 5 | - |
| Sonny Weems * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 26 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Julian Wright * | 19 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Joey Dorsey * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - |
| David Andersen * | 13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Solomon Alabi | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 39 | 8-21 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 11-16 | 0-1 | 9-14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 25 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 29 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| James Jones * | 26 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Eddie House * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter