Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +0.7 | ✗ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -3 (99-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Battier * | 40 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 34 | 9-16 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 21 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 15 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Hill | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 37 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 32 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 28 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| James Posey * | 26 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 15 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter