Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -15 (91-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 34 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 31 | 11-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 29 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 21 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Steve Novak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dominique Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 38 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 34 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Henry * | 20 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Acie Law * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Sam Young * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tony Allen | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter