Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -2 (114-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Millsap * | 43 | 19-28 | 3-3 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 29 | - |
| Deron Williams * | 42 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 39 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 28 | 5-14 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ronnie Price * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kyrylo Fesenko * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gordon Hayward | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 46 | 5-18 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 29 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 12-23 | 3-5 | 12-16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 22 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 40 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| James Jones * | 27 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Eddie House * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter