Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✗ (33.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +31 (144-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 32 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 28 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 27 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| JR Smith * | 22 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 21 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 20 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Renaldo Balkman | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Collison * | 31 | 12-14 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 23 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 29 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 29 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 27 | 8-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 24 | 9-13 | 6-10 | 7-8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 24 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Paul George | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter