Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | +0.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +2 (89-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajon Rondo * | 41 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 40 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 38 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 36 | 10-19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Semih Erden * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 41 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 33 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 32 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 26 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 14 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
* = starter