Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +10 (109-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hakim Warrick * | 34 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 31 | 7-18 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 30 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 23 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 21 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 20 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Randolph * | 41 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 38 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 36 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 30 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Xavier Henry * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Acie Law * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Sam Young * | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter